Forecasting Copper Prices Using Hybrid Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System and Genetic Algorithms     

Alameer  Zakaria  Elaziz  Mohamed Abd  Ewees  Ahmed A.  Ye  Haiwang  Jianhua  Zhang 《Natural Resources Research》2019,28(4):1385-1401

Natural Resources Research - An accurate forecasting model for the price volatility of minerals plays a vital role in future investments and decisions for mining projects and related companies. In...  相似文献   

吉尔吉斯斯坦采矿业现状与合作需求分析     

苗红萍  张利召 《化工矿产地质》2020,42(1):88-94

吉尔吉斯斯坦坐落于中亚东北部,在中亚地区具有战略通道的作用,也是"一带一路"倡议的一个重要节点,矿业是吉国支柱产业,具有良好的国际合作前景。本文采用时序数据,分析吉国金属和非金属矿产资源的开发利用情况,并总结吉国矿产资源开发利用的特征及存在问题;分析显示吉国矿业存在矿产开发程度较低且过渡依赖金矿开发、矿业开发产业链不完整、本国黄金储备需求增加、环境污染等问题;未来重点发展方向包括:优化矿业发展政策与环境、加大矿产资源开发、广泛应用现代采矿技术。结果表明吉国在矿产开发利用、建设矿业和工业产业链、完善矿产资源开发利用相关基础设施等方面有较为强烈的国际合作需求,中国相关单位、企业可以以此为切入点,加强与吉国的矿产开发利用合作。  相似文献   

Spectra of seismic force reduction factors of MDOF systems normalized by two characteristic periods     

Li  Xiao  Tong  Genshu  Zhang  Lei 《地震工程与工程振动(英文版)》2020,19(1):53-69

Seismic force reduction factor(SFRF) spectra of shear-type multi-degree-of-freedom(MDOF) structures are investigated. The modified Clough model, capable of considering the strength-degradation/hardening and stiffnessdegradation, is adopted. The SFRF mean spectra using 102 earthquake records on a typical site soil type(type C) are constructed with the period abscissa being divided into three period ranges to maintain the peak features at the two sitespecific characteristic periods. Based on a large number of results, it is found that the peak value of SFRF spectra may also exist for MDOF, induced by large high-mode contributions to elastic base shear, besides the mentioned two peak values. The variations of the stiffness ratio λk and the strength ratio λF of the top to bottom story are both considered. It is found that the SFRFs for λF≤λk are smaller than those for λF λk. A SFRF modification factor for MDOF systems is proposed with respect to SDOF. It is found that this factor is significantly affected by the story number and ductility. With a specific λF(= λk0.75), SFRF mean spectra are constructed and simple solutions are presented for MDOF systems. For frames satisfying the strong column/weak beam requirement, an approximate treatment in the MDOF shear-beam model is to assign a post-limit stiffness 15%-35% of the initial stiffness to the hysteretic curve. SFRF spectra for MDOF systems with 0.2 and 0.3 times the post-limit stiffness are remarkably larger than those without post-limit stiffness. Thus, the findings that frames with beam hinges have smaller ductility demand are explained through the large post-limit stiffness.  相似文献   

基于手机数据的北京市城市与近郊交互模式挖掘     

彭卉  杜云艳  易嘉伟  刘张  王会蒙 《地球信息科学学报》2019,21(1):97-106

在城镇化进程中,城市与近郊之间通过职住、货运、游憩等活动产生越来越紧密的交互联系,对于这些交互联系的准确识别和定量刻画,是理解城乡空间关系的重要手段,也能为城市的资源有效配置与合理规划提供重要的现状信息。本文通过对全北京在一日之内的手机信令数据所反映的人群移动轨迹的深入分析,融合城市的POI信息形成顾及人类活动时空信息的空间交互类型推断。以北京市为例,对城市中心与近郊之间远距离的强交互进行定性、定量和定位的探索。本文发现了北京市多尺度下空间交互模式和距离衰减规律,判断了城乡异常交互类型,对比了城乡之间和城市内部的交互模式的异同,以及基于交互类型视角提取了城乡异常交互的空间特征。研究认为,基于手机信令数据,利用停留点提取和高斯核密度估计的空间交互类型推断有效地发现了北京市周末的远距离出行类型特点,提取了其空间交互强度和空间特征,揭示了基于人类活动的北京市周末城乡交互模式。  相似文献   

山东莱芜盆地碳酸盐岩热液溶蚀特征及水文地质意义   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

刘元晴  周乐  李伟  王新峰  马雪梅  吕琳  邓启军  陈晨 《现代地质》2020,34(1):199-206

鲁中山区莱芜盆地在燕山期发生大规模岩浆侵入活动,岩浆岩体外围碳酸盐岩区分布有水源地、富水块段等岩溶发育富水区,且靠近岩体含水层多发生大理岩化。富含CO₂、H₂S等酸性成分的岩浆热液流体,能对碳酸盐岩产生明显的溶蚀作用。基于岩石样品化学组分分析、水文地质调查及数据统计分析、热液溶蚀地质点详细观测,构建热液溶蚀模式,对莱芜盆地及外围热液溶蚀特征及机理进行研究。结果表明:高温高压岩浆侵入使得接触带碳酸盐岩发生热液变质大理岩化;沿渗透性断裂、裂缝以及不整合面等运移的热液流体,对碳酸盐岩地层产生酸性热液溶蚀和混合溶蚀作用,形成不同规模溶蚀孔洞,构成地下水富集空间,为寻找城镇地下水后备水源地提供新方向。  相似文献   

Makran ophiolitic basalts (SE Iran) record Late Cretaceous Neotethys plume-ridge interaction     

Rasoul Esmaeili  Mohammad Ebrahimi  Ji’En Zhang  Zhiyong Zhang  Yasser Abd El-Rahman 《International Geology Review》2020,62(13-14):1677-1697

ABSTRACT

The Makran complex in southeast Iran provides a spectacular subduction-related accretionary complex to understand the mechanism of oceanic accretion and the evolution of subduction zones. In this paper, we present new major and trace element data as well as isotopic compositions of mafic volcanic blocks from the Makran ophiolitic mélange complex (OMC). Our aim is to assess the genesis of these rocks and discuss their implications on the evolution of Neotethys Ocean. These volcanic blocks are composed mainly of basalts with minor trachytes. The Makran lavas are occasionally interlayered with tuff layers. Zircons from these tuffs give U-Pb ages of 95 Ma, which is well in accordance with the reposted microfossil data for the interlayered pelagic limestones with pillow lavas. Makran basalts can be geochemically subdivided into four groups; normal to transitional MORB, enriched-MORB, Plume-type MORB and alkaline (-OIB-like) basalts. The OIB-like pillow lavas are represented by high values of Th/Tb (6.3–7.4) which are higher than other basalts (group 1 = 0.3–0.8; groups 2 = 0.7–1.6; group 3 = 1.58–1.36).¹⁴³Nd/¹⁴⁴Nd_(t) ratios for basalts ranges from 0.51247 to 0.51292, whereas ⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr_(t) isotopic composition of the OMC lavas varies from 0.704433 to 0.709466. The Pb isotopic composition of the lavas are quite high, ranging from 15.49–15.66 for ²⁰⁷Pb/²⁰⁴Pb_(t), 18.09–19.12 for ²⁰⁶Pb/²⁰⁴Pb_(t) and 37.80–39.23 for ²⁰⁸Pb/²⁰⁴Pb_(t). The chemistry of these rocks suggests that they were formed most likely in an oceanic setting with clear plume-ridge interaction. These rocks can form from partial melting of a highly heterogeneous mantle source, which is extensively metasomatized with deep mantle OIB-type components. We suggest these rocks have been generated in an oceanic ridge with plume-ridge interaction, similar to the Iceland-Reykjanes Ridge, before being fragmented and accreted into the Makran accretionary complex.  相似文献   

桂西北林旺金矿床构造控矿规律及成矿模式探讨     

张知春 《地质与勘探》2020,56(2):277-287

桂西北林旺金矿是近年来右江盆地新发现的卡林型金矿,位于乐业碳酸盐台地边缘乐业-浪全同生断裂带上。通过对矿区进行野外调查、岩矿鉴定并结合勘探成果进行综合研究,发现I号矿体群与断裂、褶皱的时空联系具有构造分带的特征,以F1断层为界,上盘褶皱鞍部发育石英杂砂岩夹粉砂质泥岩矿体,矿体近F1断层破碎带部位发育破碎的硅化构造岩带,F1下盘近破碎带部位发育强烈劈理化、炭化粉砂质泥岩带,指示矿区在印支期挤压过程中,石英杂砂岩顺着先存构造薄弱面以泥岩层为滑动系统,往上部逆冲并逐渐发生褶皱,产生许多张裂隙,成为成矿流体富集的场所。林旺金矿床是层滑-褶皱构造体系与成矿流体耦合作用的产物,分析了矿床构造成矿规律,提出了以层滑-褶皱运动机制为基础的成矿模式以及成矿远景。  相似文献   

基于CUDA的地震相干体并行算法   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

张全 《地质与勘探》2020,56(1):147-153

相干体技术在地震勘探资料解释方面得到了广泛的应用,由于相干体技术处理的对象是三维地震数据体,所以算法运算时间较长。为了缩短解释周期,本文充分发挥GPU并行计算优势,对C3相干体算法进行并行化分析。从硬盘读取数据到GPU上计算相干值并写入硬盘的整个过程进行分析,剔除了冗余数据的读取,完成了C3相干体算法的并行化设计与实现。最后分别对串行算法与并行算法进行性能测试,结果表明本文设计的并行算法在保证精度的前提下达到了16倍左右的加速比,对加快地震资料解释具有重要意义。  相似文献   

Tropical cyclones and multiscale climate variability: The active western North Pacific Typhoon season of 2018     

Wu  Liang  Zhang  Hongjie  Feng  Tao  Tang  Yulian 《中国科学:地球科学(英文版)》2020,63(1):1-11

The 2018 typhoon season in the western North Pacific(WNP) was highly active, with 26 named tropical cyclones(TCs) from June to November, which exceeded the climatological mean(22) and was the second busiest season over the past twenty years. More TCs formed in the eastern region of the WNP and the northern region of the South China Sea(SCS). More TCs took the northeast quadrant in the WNP, recurving from northwestward to northward and causing heavy damages in China's Mainland(69.73 billion yuan) in 2018. Multiscale climate variability is conducive to an active season via an enhanced monsoon trough and a weakened subtropical high in the WNP. The large-scale backgrounds in 2018 showed a favorable environment for TCs established by a developing central Pacific(CP) El Ni?o and positive Pacific meridional mode(PMM)episode on interannual timescales. The tropical central Pacific(TCP) SST forcing exhibits primary control on TCs in the WNP and large-scale circulations, which are insensitive to the PMM. During CP El Ni?o years, anomalous convection associated with the TCP warming leads to significantly increased anomalous cyclonic circulation in the WNP because of a Gill-type Rossby wave response. As a result, the weakened subtropical high and enhanced monsoon trough shift eastward and northward, which favor TC genesis and development. Although such increased TC activity in 2018 might be slightly suppressed by interdecadal climate variability, it was mostly attributed to the favorable interannual background. In addition, high-frequency climate signals,such as intraseasonal oscillations(ISOs) and synoptic-scale disturbances(SSDs), interacted with the enhanced monsoon trough and strongly modulated regional TC genesis and development in 2018.  相似文献   

水资源约束下的河西走廊城市经济脆弱性时空演变及其影响因素     

张戬  陈佳  黄馨  王子侨 《中国沙漠》2019,39(1):203-211

城市经济脆弱性作为当前脆弱性研究中的重要领域，为人-地系统耦合研究提供了新的视角，并为城市可持续健康发展提供有益的决策支持和管理方法。依据城市经济脆弱性内涵，基于暴露度、敏感性、适应能力构建了城市经济脆弱性评价指标体系，运用熵权TOPSIS法评价河西走廊地区及区域内五市的城市经济脆弱性，并采用障碍度模型识别影响区域城市经济脆弱性变化的因素。结果显示：（1）2006—2015年，河西走廊地区城市经济脆弱性呈现出先曲折下降（2006—2011年）再波动上升趋势（2012—2015年）；（2）河西走廊地区的城市经济脆弱性具有明显的空间特征，经历了东西高、中部低到整体较高的演变过程；（3）阻碍河西走廊地区城市经济脆弱性降低的障碍因子由适应能力逐步转变为暴露度。针对河西走廊地区各市主要障碍因子，提出针对性优化措施。  相似文献